Let’s keep it 100: the system is failing the people in the Democratic Republic of the Congo. The top health official in Africa just dropped a bomb, admitting they have absolutely no idea where nearly 300 people who tested positive for Ebola actually are. Dr. Jean Kaseya from the Africa CDC explained that because of the ongoing war and madness in the region, over a million people are packed into displacement camps that health workers can’t even step foot in.

When you look at the receipts, the numbers don't lie. They checked the data on who recovered, who is in treatment, and who passed away, and realized that 297 people who tested positive are just gone. Kaseya is asking, 'Where are these people?' But the truth is, when you leave a million people to fend for themselves in camps with no medical access, people are going to do whatever they have to do to survive, even if they’re carrying a deadly virus.

Now, the suit-and-tie crowd over at the WHO is putting out scary projections in The Lancet Infectious Diseases, predicting we’re going to see around 8,210 cases and 1,420 deaths by mid-September. They’re also saying there's a 70% chance this heat spreads next door to South Sudan. Right now, they’ve already got 1,118 confirmed cases and 291 deaths in the DRC, and another 20 cases and two deaths over in Uganda.

And you know this thing doesn't respect borders. A doctor from France who was out there working with the NGO Alima went back home and tested positive. Alima is claiming they’re trying to figure out how he caught it, but it just shows that nobody is safe from this, no matter how much money or privilege they have.

The government’s brilliant idea is to make anyone who’s been in the affected provinces wait 21 days before they can travel anywhere else. But let's be real—when you're running for your life from conflict, nobody is sitting around waiting three weeks for a green light. This Bundibugyo strain outbreak is already the biggest one ever recorded at the five-week mark, worse than the early days of the massive 2014-2016 West Africa outbreak that ended up killing over 11,000 people.

The WHO ran their computer models to simulate how bad this could get. They say things are currently matching their central scenario, which puts us between 6,636 and 10,287 cases by September 16. But if things go completely left, the worst-case scenario is looking at 66,000 cases.

Only 30% of new cases are coming from known contacts, which means 70% of the transmission is happening out in the streets with no tracking whatsoever. To try and fix this, they want to hire 20,000 local community health workers to do the real groundwork and find these contacts. But the treatment centers are already at 95% capacity, and we haven’t even hit the peak yet. Like Kaseya said, you can't stop this virus without fixing the humanitarian crisis first. Until they help the people in those camps, this outbreak is going to keep burning.